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Colchicine for COVID-19: real-time meta analysis of 36 studies
Covid Analysis, October 4, 2022, DRAFT
https://c19colchicine.com/meta.html
 
0 0.5 1 1.5+ All studies 41% 36 23,055 Improvement, Studies, Patients Relative Risk Mortality 42% 29 21,010 Ventilation 43% 6 12,814 ICU admission 29% 5 815 Hospitalization 22% 11 7,059 Progression 81% 3 289 Recovery 27% 10 12,455 Cases -33% 2 1,522 RCTs 22% 17 19,059 RCT mortality 7% 14 18,677 Peer-reviewed 41% 34 22,634 Prophylaxis 41% 5 1,595 Early 68% 1 0 Late 39% 30 21,460 Colchicine for COVID-19 c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Favorscolchicine Favorscontrol after exclusions
Statistically significant improvements are seen for mortality, ICU admission, hospitalization, and recovery. 22 studies from 22 independent teams in 13 different countries show statistically significant improvements in isolation (13 for the most serious outcome).
Meta analysis using the most serious outcome reported shows 41% [30‑50%] improvement. Results are slightly worse for Randomized Controlled Trials, similar after exclusions, and similar for peer-reviewed studies. Clinical outcomes suggest benefit while viral and case outcomes do not, consistent with an intervention that aids recovery but is not antiviral. Early treatment is more effective than late treatment.
Results are robust — in exclusion sensitivity analysis 25 of 36 studies must be excluded to avoid finding statistically significant efficacy in pooled analysis.
0 0.5 1 1.5+ All studies 41% 36 23,055 Improvement, Studies, Patients Relative Risk Mortality 42% 29 21,010 Ventilation 43% 6 12,814 ICU admission 29% 5 815 Hospitalization 22% 11 7,059 Progression 81% 3 289 Recovery 27% 10 12,455 Cases -33% 2 1,522 RCTs 22% 17 19,059 RCT mortality 7% 14 18,677 Peer-reviewed 41% 34 22,634 Prophylaxis 41% 5 1,595 Early 68% 1 0 Late 39% 30 21,460 Colchicine for COVID-19 c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Favorscolchicine Favorscontrol after exclusions
RCT results are less favorable, however they are dominated by the very late stage RECOVERY RCT, for which the results are not generalizable to earlier usage.
No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is 100% effective and available. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. Multiple treatments are typically used in combination, and other treatments may be more effective. Only 14% of colchicine studies show zero events with treatment.
All data to reproduce this paper and sources are in the appendix. Other meta analyses for colchicine can be found in [Rai, Yasmin, Zein], showing significant improvements for mortality and severity.
Highlights
Colchicine reduces risk for COVID-19 with very high confidence for mortality, hospitalization, recovery, and in pooled analysis, high confidence for ICU admission, and low confidence for ventilation and progression, however increased risk is seen with very low confidence for cases.
We show traditional outcome specific analyses and combined evidence from all studies, incorporating treatment delay, a primary confounding factor in COVID-19 studies.
Real-time updates and corrections, transparent analysis with all results in the same format, consistent protocol for 47 treatments.
A
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Hunt 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] death Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.0006 Early treatment 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] 68% improvement Deftereos (RCT) 77% 0.23 [0.03-1.97] death 1/55 4/50 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Lopes (DB RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] death 0/36 2/36 Brunetti (PSM) 73% 0.27 [0.08-0.89] death 3/33 11/33 Scarsi 85% 0.15 [0.06-0.37] death 122 (n) 140 (n) Salehzadeh (RCT) 23% 0.77 [0.66-0.90] hosp. time 50 (n) 50 (n) Pinzón 35% 0.65 [0.34-1.21] death 14/145 23/156 Sandhu 42% 0.58 [0.40-0.85] death 16/34 63/78 Rodriguez-Nava 6% 0.94 [0.61-1.47] death 16/52 85/261 Mahale -7% 1.07 [0.59-1.96] death 11/39 25/95 Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 23% 0.77 [0.31-1.94] death 5/35 12/30 ICU patients CT​1 Tardif (DB RCT) 44% 0.56 [0.19-1.67] death 5/2,235 9/2,253 Mareev 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.01] death 0/21 2/22 García-Posada 57% 0.43 [0.16-0.84] death 48/99 59/110 CT​1 Manenti (PSW) 76% 0.24 [0.09-0.67] death 71 (n) 70 (n) Mostafaie (RCT) 83% 0.17 [0.02-1.34] death 1/60 6/60 CT​1 Recovery C.. (RCT) -1% 1.01 [0.93-1.10] death 1,173/5,610 1,190/5,730 Hueda-Zavaleta 54% 0.46 [0.23-0.91] death 10/50 109/301 Kevorkian 96% 0.04 [0.01-0.21] progression 28 (n) 40 (n) CT​1 Gaitán-Dua.. (RCT) 22% 0.78 [0.44-1.36] death 22/153 28/161 CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] death 0/52 2/51 Dorward (RCT) 70% 0.30 [0.01-7.37] death 0/156 1/120 Absalón-.. (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.21-2.40] death 4/56 6/60 Diaz (RCT) 12% 0.88 [0.70-1.12] death 131/640 142/639 Alsultan (RCT) 36% 0.64 [0.20-2.07] death 3/14 7/21 Karakaş 13% 0.87 [0.46-1.64] death 16/165 19/171 Pourdowlat (RCT) 73% 0.27 [0.11-0.71] hosp. 5/102 18/100 Gorial (RCT) 67% 0.33 [0.04-3.14] death 1/80 3/80 Pimenta B.. (RCT) 79% 0.21 [0.01-4.05] death 0/14 2/16 Jalal (RCT) 24% 0.76 [0.62-0.93] hosp. time 36 (n) 44 (n) Cecconi (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.28-1.79] death 7/119 10/120 Tau​2 = 0.10, I​2 = 73.5%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 39% 0.61 [0.51-0.73] 1,492/10,362 1,838/11,098 39% improvement Monserrat V.. (PSM) 80% 0.20 [0.02-0.93] death n/a n/a Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Topless 23% 0.77 [0.56-1.07] death Oztas -406% 5.06 [0.59-43.2] hosp. 5/635 1/643 Avanoglu Guler 79% 0.21 [0.04-0.83] oxygen 6/66 3/7 Correa-Rodríguez -150% 2.50 [0.10-60.6] oxygen 1/163 0/81 Tau​2 = 0.68, I​2 = 65.3%, p = 0.3 Prophylaxis 41% 0.59 [0.23-1.57] 12/864 4/731 41% improvement All studies 41% 0.59 [0.50-0.70] 1,504/11,226 1,842/11,829 41% improvement 36 colchicine COVID-19 studies c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.11, I​2 = 73.4%, p < 0.0001 Effect extraction pre-specified(most serious outcome, see appendix) 1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Hunt 68% death Improvement Relative Risk [CI] Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.0006 Early treatment 68% 68% improvement Deftereos (RCT) 77% death Lopes (DB RCT) 80% death Brunetti (PSM) 73% death Scarsi 85% death Salehzadeh (RCT) 23% hospitalization Pinzón 35% death Sandhu 42% death Rodriguez-Nava 6% death Mahale -7% death Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 23% death ICU patients CT​1 Tardif (DB RCT) 44% death Mareev 80% death García-Posada 57% death CT​1 Manenti (PSW) 76% death Mostafaie (RCT) 83% death CT​1 Recovery C.. (RCT) -1% death Hueda-Zavaleta 54% death Kevorkian 96% progression CT​1 Gaitán-Dua.. (RCT) 22% death CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% death Dorward (RCT) 70% death Absalón-.. (DB RCT) 29% death Diaz (RCT) 12% death Alsultan (RCT) 36% death Karakaş 13% death Pourdowlat (RCT) 73% hospitalization Gorial (RCT) 67% death Pimenta B.. (RCT) 79% death Jalal (RCT) 24% hospitalization Cecconi (DB RCT) 29% death Tau​2 = 0.10, I​2 = 73.5%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 39% 39% improvement Monserrat V.. (PSM) 80% death Topless 23% death Oztas -406% hospitalization Avanoglu Guler 79% oxygen therapy Correa-Rodríguez -150% oxygen therapy Tau​2 = 0.68, I​2 = 65.3%, p = 0.3 Prophylaxis 41% 41% improvement All studies 41% 41% improvement 36 colchicine COVID-19 studies c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.11, I​2 = 73.4%, p < 0.0001 Protocol pre-specified/rotate for details1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 1. A. Random effects meta-analysis. This plot shows pooled effects, discussion can be found in the heterogeneity section, and results for specific outcomes can be found in the individual outcome analyses. Effect extraction is pre-specified, using the most serious outcome reported. For details of effect extraction see the appendix. B. Scatter plot showing the distribution of effects reported in studies. C. History of all reported effects (chronological within treatment stages).
Introduction
We analyze all significant studies concerning the use of colchicine for COVID-19. Search methods, inclusion criteria, effect extraction criteria (more serious outcomes have priority), all individual study data, PRISMA answers, and statistical methods are detailed in Appendix 1. We present random effects meta-analysis results for all studies, for studies within each treatment stage, for individual outcomes, for peer-reviewed studies, for Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs), and after exclusions.
Figure 2 shows stages of possible treatment for COVID-19. Prophylaxis refers to regularly taking medication before becoming sick, in order to prevent or minimize infection. Early Treatment refers to treatment immediately or soon after symptoms appear, while Late Treatment refers to more delayed treatment.
Figure 2. Treatment stages.
Results
Figure 3 shows a visual overview of the results, with details in Table 1 and Table 2. Figure 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12 show forest plots for a random effects meta-analysis of all studies with pooled effects, mortality results, ventilation, ICU admission, hospitalization, progression, recovery, cases, and peer reviewed studies.
0 0.5 1 1.5+ ALL STUDIES MORTALITY VENTILATION ICU ADMISSION HOSPITALIZATION PROGRESSION RECOVERY CASES RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS RCT MORTALITY PEER-REVIEWED After Exclusions ALL STUDIES All Prophylaxis Early Late Colchicine for COVID-19 C19COLCHICINE.COM OCT 2022
Figure 3. Overview of results.
Treatment timeNumber of studies reporting positive effects Total number of studiesPercentage of studies reporting positive effects Random effects meta-analysis results
Early treatment 1 1 100% 68% improvement
RR 0.32 [0.15‑0.67]
p = 0.0029
Late treatment 28 30 93.3% 39% improvement
RR 0.61 [0.51‑0.73]
p < 0.0001
Prophylaxis 3 5 60.0% 41% improvement
RR 0.59 [0.23‑1.57]
p = 0.3
All studies 32 36 88.9% 41% improvement
RR 0.59 [0.50‑0.70]
p < 0.0001
Table 1. Results by treatment stage.
Studies Early treatment Late treatment Prophylaxis PatientsAuthors
All studies 3668% [33‑85%]39% [27‑49%]41% [-57‑77%] 23,055 671
With exclusions 3068% [33‑85%]50% [36‑61%]57% [-13‑83%] 19,635 511
Peer-reviewed 3468% [33‑85%]39% [26‑49%]41% [-57‑77%] 22,634 661
Randomized Controlled TrialsRCTs 1722% [8‑33%] 19,059 426
Table 2. Results by treatment stage for all studies and with different exclusions.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Hunt 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] death Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.0006 Early treatment 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] 68% improvement Deftereos (RCT) 77% 0.23 [0.03-1.97] death 1/55 4/50 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Lopes (DB RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] death 0/36 2/36 Brunetti (PSM) 73% 0.27 [0.08-0.89] death 3/33 11/33 Scarsi 85% 0.15 [0.06-0.37] death 122 (n) 140 (n) Salehzadeh (RCT) 23% 0.77 [0.66-0.90] hosp. time 50 (n) 50 (n) Pinzón 35% 0.65 [0.34-1.21] death 14/145 23/156 Sandhu 42% 0.58 [0.40-0.85] death 16/34 63/78 Rodriguez-Nava 6% 0.94 [0.61-1.47] death 16/52 85/261 Mahale -7% 1.07 [0.59-1.96] death 11/39 25/95 Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 23% 0.77 [0.31-1.94] death 5/35 12/30 ICU patients CT​1 Tardif (DB RCT) 44% 0.56 [0.19-1.67] death 5/2,235 9/2,253 Mareev 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.01] death 0/21 2/22 García-Posada 57% 0.43 [0.16-0.84] death 48/99 59/110 CT​1 Manenti (PSW) 76% 0.24 [0.09-0.67] death 71 (n) 70 (n) Mostafaie (RCT) 83% 0.17 [0.02-1.34] death 1/60 6/60 CT​1 Recovery C.. (RCT) -1% 1.01 [0.93-1.10] death 1,173/5,610 1,190/5,730 Hueda-Zavaleta 54% 0.46 [0.23-0.91] death 10/50 109/301 Kevorkian 96% 0.04 [0.01-0.21] progression 28 (n) 40 (n) CT​1 Gaitán-Dua.. (RCT) 22% 0.78 [0.44-1.36] death 22/153 28/161 CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] death 0/52 2/51 Dorward (RCT) 70% 0.30 [0.01-7.37] death 0/156 1/120 Absalón-.. (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.21-2.40] death 4/56 6/60 Diaz (RCT) 12% 0.88 [0.70-1.12] death 131/640 142/639 Alsultan (RCT) 36% 0.64 [0.20-2.07] death 3/14 7/21 Karakaş 13% 0.87 [0.46-1.64] death 16/165 19/171 Pourdowlat (RCT) 73% 0.27 [0.11-0.71] hosp. 5/102 18/100 Gorial (RCT) 67% 0.33 [0.04-3.14] death 1/80 3/80 Pimenta B.. (RCT) 79% 0.21 [0.01-4.05] death 0/14 2/16 Jalal (RCT) 24% 0.76 [0.62-0.93] hosp. time 36 (n) 44 (n) Cecconi (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.28-1.79] death 7/119 10/120 Tau​2 = 0.10, I​2 = 73.5%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 39% 0.61 [0.51-0.73] 1,492/10,362 1,838/11,098 39% improvement Monserrat V.. (PSM) 80% 0.20 [0.02-0.93] death n/a n/a Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Topless 23% 0.77 [0.56-1.07] death Oztas -406% 5.06 [0.59-43.2] hosp. 5/635 1/643 Avanoglu Guler 79% 0.21 [0.04-0.83] oxygen 6/66 3/7 Correa-Rodríguez -150% 2.50 [0.10-60.6] oxygen 1/163 0/81 Tau​2 = 0.68, I​2 = 65.3%, p = 0.3 Prophylaxis 41% 0.59 [0.23-1.57] 12/864 4/731 41% improvement All studies 41% 0.59 [0.50-0.70] 1,504/11,226 1,842/11,829 41% improvement 36 colchicine COVID-19 studies c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.11, I​2 = 73.4%, p < 0.0001 Effect extraction pre-specified(most serious outcome, see appendix) 1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Hunt 68% death Improvement Relative Risk [CI] Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.0006 Early treatment 68% 68% improvement Deftereos (RCT) 77% death Lopes (DB RCT) 80% death Brunetti (PSM) 73% death Scarsi 85% death Salehzadeh (RCT) 23% hospitalization Pinzón 35% death Sandhu 42% death Rodriguez-Nava 6% death Mahale -7% death Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 23% death ICU patients CT​1 Tardif (DB RCT) 44% death Mareev 80% death García-Posada 57% death CT​1 Manenti (PSW) 76% death Mostafaie (RCT) 83% death CT​1 Recovery C.. (RCT) -1% death Hueda-Zavaleta 54% death Kevorkian 96% progression CT​1 Gaitán-Dua.. (RCT) 22% death CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% death Dorward (RCT) 70% death Absalón-.. (DB RCT) 29% death Diaz (RCT) 12% death Alsultan (RCT) 36% death Karakaş 13% death Pourdowlat (RCT) 73% hospitalization Gorial (RCT) 67% death Pimenta B.. (RCT) 79% death Jalal (RCT) 24% hospitalization Cecconi (DB RCT) 29% death Tau​2 = 0.10, I​2 = 73.5%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 39% 39% improvement Monserrat V.. (PSM) 80% death Topless 23% death Oztas -406% hospitalization Avanoglu Guler 79% oxygen therapy Correa-Rodríguez -150% oxygen therapy Tau​2 = 0.68, I​2 = 65.3%, p = 0.3 Prophylaxis 41% 41% improvement All studies 41% 41% improvement 36 colchicine COVID-19 studies c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.11, I​2 = 73.4%, p < 0.0001 Protocol pre-specified/rotate for details1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 4. Random effects meta-analysis for all studies with pooled effects. This plot shows pooled effects, discussion can be found in the heterogeneity section, and results for specific outcomes can be found in the individual outcome analyses. Effect extraction is pre-specified, using the most serious outcome reported. For details of effect extraction see the appendix.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Hunt 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.0006 Early treatment 68% 0.32 [0.15-0.67] 68% improvement Deftereos (RCT) 77% 0.23 [0.03-1.97] 1/55 4/50 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Lopes (DB RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] 0/36 2/36 Brunetti (PSM) 73% 0.27 [0.08-0.89] 3/33 11/33 Scarsi 85% 0.15 [0.06-0.37] 122 (n) 140 (n) Pinzón 35% 0.65 [0.34-1.21] 14/145 23/156 Sandhu 42% 0.58 [0.40-0.85] 16/34 63/78 Rodriguez-Nava 6% 0.94 [0.61-1.47] 16/52 85/261 Mahale -7% 1.07 [0.59-1.96] 11/39 25/95 Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 23% 0.77 [0.31-1.94] 5/35 12/30 ICU patients CT​1 Tardif (DB RCT) 44% 0.56 [0.19-1.67] 5/2,235 9/2,253 Mareev 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.01] 0/21 2/22 García-Posada 57% 0.43 [0.16-0.84] 48/99 59/110 CT​1 Manenti (PSW) 76% 0.24 [0.09-0.67] 71 (n) 70 (n) Mostafaie (RCT) 83% 0.17 [0.02-1.34] 1/60 6/60 CT​1 Recovery C.. (RCT) -1% 1.01 [0.93-1.10] 1,173/5,610 1,190/5,730 Hueda-Zavaleta 54% 0.46 [0.23-0.91] 10/50 109/301 Gaitán-Dua.. (RCT) 22% 0.78 [0.44-1.36] 22/153 28/161 CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] 0/52 2/51 Dorward (RCT) 70% 0.30 [0.01-7.37] 0/156 1/120 Absalón-.. (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.21-2.40] 4/56 6/60 Diaz (RCT) 12% 0.88 [0.70-1.12] 131/640 142/639 Alsultan (RCT) 36% 0.64 [0.20-2.07] 3/14 7/21 Karakaş 13% 0.87 [0.46-1.64] 16/165 19/171 Gorial (RCT) 67% 0.33 [0.04-3.14] 1/80 3/80 Pimenta B.. (RCT) 79% 0.21 [0.01-4.05] 0/14 2/16 Cecconi (DB RCT) 29% 0.71 [0.28-1.79] 7/119 10/120 Tau​2 = 0.13, I​2 = 71.6%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 40% 0.60 [0.48-0.75] 1,487/10,146 1,820/10,864 40% improvement Monserrat V.. (PSM) 80% 0.20 [0.02-0.93] n/a n/a Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Topless 23% 0.77 [0.56-1.07] Tau​2 = 0.64, I​2 = 71.1%, p = 0.24 Prophylaxis 53% 0.47 [0.13-1.67] 53% improvement All studies 42% 0.58 [0.47-0.72] 1,487/10,146 1,820/10,864 42% improvement 29 colchicine COVID-19 mortality results c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.14, I​2 = 72.7%, p < 0.0001 1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 5. Random effects meta-analysis for mortality results.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Deftereos (RCT) 82% 0.18 [0.02-1.50] 1/55 5/50 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Sandhu 53% 0.47 [0.33-0.67] 16/34 68/68 Tardif (DB RCT) 47% 0.53 [0.25-1.09] 11/2,235 21/2,253 Recovery C.. (RCT) -18% 1.18 [0.99-1.40] 259/3,815 228/3,962 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 80% 0.20 [0.01-4.03] 0/52 2/51 Cecconi (DB RCT) 50% 0.50 [0.18-1.43] 5/119 10/120 Tau​2 = 0.34, I​2 = 82.5%, p = 0.075 Late treatment 43% 0.57 [0.31-1.06] 292/6,310 334/6,504 43% improvement All studies 43% 0.57 [0.31-1.06] 292/6,310 334/6,504 43% improvement 6 colchicine COVID-19 mechanical ventilation results c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.34, I​2 = 82.5%, p = 0.075 Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 6. Random effects meta-analysis for ventilation.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Lopes (DB RCT) 50% 0.50 [0.10-2.56] 2/36 4/36 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Valerio Pas.. (ICU) 40% 0.60 [0.38-0.95] 35 (n) 30 (n) ICU patients CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) 51% 0.49 [0.09-2.56] 2/52 4/51 Karakaş 16% 0.84 [0.55-1.29] 30/165 37/171 Cecconi (DB RCT) 21% 0.79 [0.38-1.67] 11/119 14/120 Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.018 Late treatment 29% 0.71 [0.54-0.94] 45/407 59/408 29% improvement All studies 29% 0.71 [0.54-0.94] 45/407 59/408 29% improvement 5 colchicine COVID-19 ICU results c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.018 1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 7. Random effects meta-analysis for ICU admission.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Lopes (DB RCT) 22% 0.78 [0.64-0.94] hosp. time 36 (n) 36 (n) Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Salehzadeh (RCT) 23% 0.77 [0.66-0.90] hosp. time 50 (n) 50 (n) Tardif (DB RCT) 20% 0.80 [0.61-1.03] hosp. 101/2,235 128/2,253 Mareev 26% 0.74 [0.53-1.04] hosp. time 21 (n) 22 (n) Mostafaie (RCT) 35% 0.65 [0.53-0.81] hosp. time 59 (n) 54 (n) CT​1 Pascual-Fi.. (RCT) -15% 1.15 [0.87-1.51] hosp. time 52 (n) 51 (n) Karakaş 25% 0.75 [0.65-0.87] hosp. time 165 (n) 171 (n) Pourdowlat (RCT) 73% 0.27 [0.11-0.71] hosp. 5/102 18/100 Jalal (RCT) 24% 0.76 [0.62-0.93] hosp. time 36 (n) 44 (n) Tau​2 = 0.01, I​2 = 47.1%, p < 0.0001 Late treatment 23% 0.77 [0.69-0.85] 106/2,756 146/2,781 23% improvement Oztas -406% 5.06 [0.59-43.2] hosp. 5/635 1/643 Improvement, RR [CI] Treatment Control Correa-Rodríguez -150% 2.50 [0.10-60.6] hosp. 1/163 0/81 Tau​2 = 0.00, I​2 = 0.0%, p = 0.12 Prophylaxis -306% 4.06 [0.69-24.1] 6/798 1/724 -306% improvement All studies 22% 0.78 [0.70-0.86] 112/3,554 147/3,505 22% improvement 11 colchicine COVID-19 hospitalization results c19colchicine.com Oct 2022 Tau​2 = 0.01, I​2 = 46.3%, p < 0.0001 1 CT: study uses combined treatment Favors colchicine Favors control
Figure 8. Random effects meta-analysis for hospitalization.
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5